Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1386.767695 1522.445346 1660.755533 1812.019490 1972.516187 2137.458857 2319.507366
2025-05-11 1150.501015 1348.386505 1558.851493 1798.221498 2061.777886 2342.017094 2661.413749
2025-05-18 1016.001714 1250.879669 1508.657480 1810.191606 2150.863277 2521.558206 2953.119173
2025-05-25 901.276487 1159.450454 1450.723168 1799.742491 2202.675039 2649.510110 3178.702791
2025-06-01 826.391740 1104.964818 1426.870471 1820.568883 2283.342023 2804.576267 3430.484272
2025-06-08 744.070216 1033.915014 1376.838113 1804.608430 2316.101254 2900.646228 3611.609430
2025-06-15 702.685748 1008.715612 1378.003732 1846.204634 2413.845363 3070.140789 3876.481289
2025-06-22 649.986374 965.041901 1352.986508 1852.960391 2467.526265 3186.242369 4078.010133
2025-06-29 598.089150 918.519460 1321.081635 1848.258146 2504.917905 3281.271934 4253.552411
2025-07-06 529.103474 844.783571 1250.532974 1791.467636 2475.194221 3293.202266 4327.983334
2025-07-13 517.391155 847.115290 1277.154297 1856.974360 2596.565975 3487.920772 4622.440389
2025-07-20 493.813001 831.366879 1278.749554 1889.391909 2675.982306 3631.430763 4855.491936
2025-07-27 457.631952 796.348710 1253.826841 1887.179366 2712.256535 3723.412659 5028.424016
2025-08-03 419.972999 756.868600 1220.980842 1873.011643 2732.236553 3794.765141 5176.264789
2025-08-10 394.600910 733.667670 1208.986003 1885.321759 2785.415666 3907.052605 5374.565227
2025-08-17 363.795324 700.230659 1180.987280 1874.575497 2807.456450 3979.476766 5523.095809
2025-08-24 345.410082 684.622351 1177.195256 1895.993624 2871.200467 4104.547669 5737.647188
2025-08-31 317.210549 651.694680 1146.943399 1879.579883 2883.812717 4163.800841 5869.276886
2025-09-07 307.895186 648.440810 1159.426147 1922.354854 2975.328101 4324.420130 6129.423899
2025-09-14 289.417608 628.939043 1146.962649 1929.301269 3018.233063 4422.266953 6310.256970
2025-09-21 269.167815 605.096761 1126.874507 1924.466343 3044.499888 4498.184022 6463.140549
2025-09-28 237.297135 558.945915 1070.827475 1866.064935 2995.967313 4475.218557 6488.379677
2025-10-05 237.215689 568.755288 1101.220436 1933.428415 3120.981081 4680.646680 6808.514423